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The Jobs Picture Still Looks Bleak

The Jobs Picture Still Looks Bleak
Many outsourced jobs will never return, and median income will likely continue to fall just like it did during the last so-called recovery.

The U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs in March. That sounds impressive until you look more closely. At least a third of them were temporary government hires to take the census—better than no job but hardly worth writing home about. The 112,000 real new jobs were fewer than the 150,000 needed to keep up with the growth of the U.S. population. It’s far better than it was—we’re not hemorrhaging jobs as we did in 2008 and 2009—but the bleeding hasn’t stopped.

Since the start of the Great Recession in December 2007, the economy has shed 8.4 million jobs and failed to create another 2.7 million required by an ever-larger pool of potential workers. That leaves us more than 11 million jobs behind. (The number is worse if you include everyone working part-time who’d rather it be full-time, those working full-time at fewer hours, and people who are overqualified for the jobs they’re in.) This means even if we enjoy a vigorous recovery that produces, say, 300,000 net new jobs a month, we could be looking at five to eight years before catching up to where we were before the recession began.

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Did FDR End the Depression?

Did FDR End the Depression?
The economy took off after the postwar Congress cut taxes

‘He got us out of the Great Depression.” That’s probably the most frequent comment made about President Franklin Roosevelt, who died 65 years ago today. Every Democratic president from Truman to Obama has believed it, and each has used FDR’s New Deal as a model for expanding the government.

It’s a myth. FDR did not get us out of the Great Depression—not during the 1930s, and only in a limited sense during World War II.

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Fewer Students, More Teachers

Fewer Students, More Teachers
Even as enrollment falls, school districts keep hiring.

New York Governor David Paterson wants to reduce state aid to local school districts next year by 5% to address the state’s $9.2 billion budget deficit, and state educators are complaining that the cuts could result in teacher layoffs. Maybe so, but the reality in New York and other states is that teacher hires in recent years have far outpaced student enrollment.

A new report from the Empire Center for New York State Policy found that New York public schools added 15,000 teachers between 2000 and 2009, even though enrollment fell by 121,000 students over the same period. New York City, home to the nation’s largest school system, added 7,000 teachers and 4,000 nonteaching professionals (guidance counselors, administrators, nurses) even as its enrollment was decreasing by 63,000 kids, according to state data.

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Greece’s Debt Lessons

Greece’s Debt Lessons
New York, California and Washington are on the same path.

European governments on Sunday moved closer to bailing out Greece, saying the country would be eligible for up to €30 billion in loans this year at about 5% interest from fellow euro nations if a rescue becomes necessary. This is one more attempt to assure credit markets in advance of a new auction of Greek debt on Tuesday, for whatever those attempts have been worth. Greece’s debt agony is painful but it might do some good if the rest of the world—including Washington—heeds its lessons.

Athens remains in denial, thinking that its recent package of spending cuts should be enough to earn market support. The bond yields, says Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou, “don’t reflect the real state of the economy, nor the efforts and results of what the government has done so far.” King Canute also tried to command the tides.

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Escalante Stood and Delivered. It’s Our Turn.

The teachers union opposed his effort to expand his class beyond 35 students.

Jaime Escalante, the brilliant public school teacher immortalized in the 1988 film, “Stand and Deliver,” died this week at the age of 79. With the help of a few dedicated colleagues at Garfield High in East Los Angeles, he shattered the myth that poor inner-city kids couldn’t handle advanced math. At the peak of its success, Garfield produced more students who passed Advanced Placement calculus than Beverly Hills High.

In any other field, his methods would have been widely copied. Instead, Escalante’s success was resented. And while the teachers union contract limited class sizes to 35, Escalante could not bring himself to turn students away, packing 50 or more into a room and still helping them to excel. This weakened the union’s bargaining position, so it complained.

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