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The Spending Freeze That Isn’t

Wall Street Journal

In last night’s State of the Union address President Obama proposed a three-year “spending freeze” on what amounts to one-sixth of the federal budget. Our biggest entitlement programs, Social Security and Medicare, would be excluded. These changes are optical rather than substantive. Given the spending agenda that is already in place, we can expect to see large increases in the proportion of GDP that is spent by our government for years to come.

Since 2008, the ratio of federal spending-to-GDP has risen by about 14%. From 2008 to 2009 we saw the greatest annual increase in spending in the last 30 years. In the name of stimulating job growth, the share of federal spending is now 24% of the economy, up from 21% in the last year of the Bush administration.

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The Fed’s Anti-Inflation Exit Strategy Will Fail

Wall Street Journal

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has explained his exit strategy to prevent future inflation. The Fed recently began to pay interest to banks on the reserves they hold in their vaults. Using this new tool, it claims the ability to get banks to keep the money instead of lending it out, thus containing the money supply and inflation.

I don’t believe this will work, and no one else should.

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Experts See Another Global Dip Ahead

Wall Street Journal

DAVOS—The global economic recovery could lose pace later this year, dashing hopes for a rapid escape from the deepest downturn of the postwar era, economists and investors said at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting at this Swiss ski resort.

Heavy debts will weigh on governments and households in the U.S. and Europe for some time, while hopes for global growth will continue to rest on fast-developing countries such as India and China, predicted participants at the meeting’s opening debate on the economy.

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A Bear Reawakens After a Bullish Run

Wall Street Journal

GMO’s Grantham Warns of a Stock Bubble

Jeremy Grantham, the investment guru who correctly predicted the 2009 market rally, now warns that a new bubble is forming.

Stocks are likely to move higher in coming months, but prices are expensive, and long-term investors should be mindful of a volatile mix that Federal Reserve policy and government actions are causing, according to Mr. Grantham, the frequently bearish chief investment strategist at Boston-based institutional money manager GMO.

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Choice Education Chiefs

Wall Street Journal

Kudos to the country’s two newest governors, Republicans Bob McDonnell of Virginia and Chris Christie of New Jersey, who have tapped strong school choice advocates to head their state education departments.

Last week, Mr. McDonnell chose Gerald Robinson to become Virginia’s next Secretary of Education. Mr. Robinson currently heads the Black Alliance for Educational Options, a national nonprofit that backs charter schools and performance pay for teachers. Meanwhile, Mr. Christie has picked former Jersey City Mayor Bret Schundler to serve as his state’s next education commissioner. Mr. Schundler is an unabashed supporter of using education vouchers and charter schools to improve the plight of urban school districts.

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Monadnock School Board Ought to Tape Itself

Sentinel Source
January 21, 2010
Most school boards are operating in pressure cookers, thanks to the poor economy and increasing requirements that schools account for the performance of their students, among other demands.

But nowhere does the pressure seem as intense as in the Monadnock Regional School District, where at a recent board meeting one member called another a “jerk.”

Actually, that’s par for the course at Monadnock’s school board, where rude behavior is commonplace. A year or so ago civility presented itself for a brief spell, like the eye of a storm, and then was gone.

The cause of that interlude of respectful and productive behavior was a videotaping project undertaken by students at Monadnock Community Connections School, a unit of the school system that has a nontraditional curriculum.

Said one teacher who witnessed the students’ videotaping of school board meetings, there was a distinct change in tone when the cameras were on: “It was like night and day.”

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Group adds money back to budget

Sentinel Source
January 15, 2010

But move by Monadnock committee doesn’t sit well with some

SWANZEY CENTER — One week after the Monadnock Regional School Board voted to slice $200,000 from next year’s proposed school district budget, the budget committee opted to put nearly the same amount back in.

The committee agreed on a budget proposal of $31,694,597 following Thursday’s public hearing. This figure — which is $194,325 more than the school board’s proposal of $31,500,272 — will be the number voters can adopt or amend at the district’s official-ballot first session next month.

The budget committee’s vote restored most of the money the school board had cut for two maintenance jobs and a maintenance management position. But that doesn’t ease the danger that all three people will lose their jobs. Because, while the budget committee sets the budget number that goes before district voters, the school board controls how the money is spent.

In addition, while suggesting money be added back into the budget, committee Chairman Wayne S. Lechlider of Swanzey made no mention of sparing the maintenance staff. Instead, he derived his more than $194,000 addition with the hopes of keeping the biology, technology education and Spanish teachers at Monadnock Regional Middle/High School whose jobs were slated to be cut under the school board’s budget proposal.

Lechlider’s proposal also included adding back $24,700 for staff training, summer work by a guidance counselor, job-related travel and technology-education equipment and supplies.

Still, by hiking the budget proposal, the budget committee may have stirred a brewing fight with the Monadnock School Taxpayers Association.

“The $31.5 (million dollars proposed by the school board) makes sense,” said Richard E. Bauries, a Swanzey resident and president of the citizens’ organization. Bauries said the taxpayers association “made a deal” with the school board last year — which he later told The Sentinel wasn’t a formal agreement but rather a “thank you” to the board for being financially conservative. Last year, the association supported a high school building renovation article, according to Bauries, and refrained from circulating its publication that has, in the past, argued with many of the school board’s proposals.

However, he cautioned the budget committee, “If you’re going to add a lot more to the budget, then our support starts going the other way because people cannot afford that.”

Bruce W. Barlow, also a Swanzey resident, and chairman of the school board’s community relations committee, warned the budget committee about making a foe of the taxpayers’ association.

“At the current level (of the budget), we have an ally rather than an adversary,” he said, which he described as especially important since voters will also be asked to pass the next phase of a renovation project at the high school.

“If we raise the budget too much, we’re not going to have the support of the taxpayers association. My job (as community relations chairman) just got infinitely harder.”

However, Colline M. Dreyfuss, a Swanzey resident and former school board chairman, retorted, “The budget committee and the board should really look at the facts based on their own integrity and not by some threat from some other outside organization.”

This year’s proposed budget of $31,694,597 is $286,013, or 0.89 percent, less than the $31,980,610 budget Monadnock voters approved in March. As was the case last year, the budget proposal is less than the default budget, which the budget committee set at $32,507,904.

That number will kick in if voters defeat the budget proposal in March. State statute requires the default budget to reflect the current year’s operating budget plus debt service and contractual obligations and minus one-time expenditures.

So what exactly is a “one-time expenditure?”

On Thursday, this became subject for debate, as budget committee member Cornelius “Neil” F. Moriarty of Richmond attempted — and failed — to remove $160,000 from the default budget for a legal settlement because he said it’s a one-time expense.

Dassau told The Sentinel that while he didn’t recall the specific total of the settlement, Moriarty’s estimate seemed “very close.” Because of a confidentiality agreement, Dassau declined to confirm this money was for the settlement of a lawsuit from former Monadnock High School principal Daniel E. Stockwell.

But Moriarty told Thursday’s meeting crowd, “If you don’t know who the person is, you can go around the corner and look at the picture.” One of two pictures on the wall of the high school’s front hallway is of the late Stockwell, who launched a lawsuit against the district that was settled last year.

Regardless, Dassau said, whether the settlement counts as a “one-time expenditure” that can be included in the default budget warrants some interpretation.

“It’s not a truck. … You put in a new truck in the budget, you get your new truck, that’s a one-time expense,” he said.

Brian S. Gallagher, interim business administrator, backed Dassau up — questioning how $160,000 can be removed when it was never in a budget line item to begin with.

“To take out this $160,000 for a one-time item that was not appropriated for would seem not to be reasonable in following the intent of a one-time appropriation,” he said.

- The official-ballot first session is scheduled for Feb. 6 at 10 a.m. at Monadnock Regional Middle/High School.

Serfing U.S.A.

Americans are conditioned to lick the hand that beats them.

American Conservative Magazine
February 2010

TAKE A SIMPLE PROPOSITION: anything government messes with gets messed up worse. This was the basic insight of Philadelphia, briefly revived by Ronald Reagan. Pollster Scott Rasmussen finds that by a 2-1 margin, American voters agree that no matter how bad things are, Congress can always make them worse. Go around the globe and ask whether anyone believes that government works. You will hear yes only from folk who stand to gain from the state—contractors, pensioners, bureaucrats, and officeholders.

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